Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Afan Lido		Newport City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.28
	2.52	3.82	2.32
	2.58	3.63	2.46	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.25
	2.66	3.75	2.34
	2.48	3.6	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.91)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	2.32 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
36.1%

Draw
24.8%

Newport City
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Afan Lido - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 13th).

In recent outings, Afan Lido has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Afan Lido may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Afan Lido has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:8 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Afan Lido against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
11.09.26	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLW
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Newport City	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Llanelli - Newport City	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Newport City - Newport County	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
13.02.26	Afan Lido - Newport City	0:1
25.07.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	1:0
17.01.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	5:1
09.08.24	Afan Lido - Newport City	1:1

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