Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Afan Lido		Pure Swansea

	1	X	2
	5.30	4.25	1.44
	5.5	4.5	1.48	Watch
	5.65	4.40	1.42
	5.40	4.40	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (3.79)	4.39 ↑ (3.9)	1.45 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
16.6%

Draw
20.7%

Pure Swansea
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

23.8%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

23.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.

Pure Swansea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pure Swansea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afan Lido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pure Swansea than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pure Swansea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Afan Lido - Pure Swansea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - Cymru Premier).

Afan Lido has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pure Swansea is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Pure Swansea for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pure Swansea	8	6	2	0	25:6	19	20
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Afan Lido - the odds 3.79 are the expected chance of winning is 24.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
02.10.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Afan Lido - Newport City	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWLT
- Pure Swansea FC
Welsh Cymru South
03.10.26	Pure Swansea - Caerphilly Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Aberystwyth Town - Pure Swansea	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Pure Swansea - Pontardawe Town	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Pure Swansea - Pontypridd United	4:4 ✺
21.08.26	Caerau Ely - Pure Swansea	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Afan Lido - Pure Swansea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide