Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Ofelia Rosenzuaig (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Agropecuario Argentino		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.25
	1.78	3.1	4.6
	1.78	3.1	5
	1.8	3.19	5.46
	1.88	3.11	4.71	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.79	3.14	4.96
	1.78	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	5 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agropecuario Argentino
51.7%

Draw
29.7%

Arsenal Sarandí
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28.5%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agropecuario Argentino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Agropecuario Argentino - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salort G. (G) 4. Montero A. 2. Lettieri E. 6. Silcan E. 3. Ramos M. 8. Moreno E. 5. Lemos D. 10. Marcioni J. 11. Cucchi P. 7. Rivero M. 9. Gagliardi A.	1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Sosa A. 2. Bernardi B. 6. Alvarez A. 3. Cabrera I. 8. Lucero M. 5. Domingo N. 10. Ayala A. 11. Serrano V. 7. Sabatini I. 9. Rios L.
Coaches
Vico P.	Bianco J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Lettieri E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Lettieri E. ⚽,
70', Lemos D. 🟨,
76', Sosa A. 🟨,
78', Cucchi P. 🟨,
85', Alvarez A. 🟨,
90', Brestt F. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Agropecuario is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Agropecuario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.09.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Quilmes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.09.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	San Martín de San Juan - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	San Telmo - Arsenal Sarandí	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Chacarita Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0
05.04.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0

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