Match Info

Championship - Round 25

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Saints TV


	Airdrieonians		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.7	1.5	Watch
	5.7	4.05	1.52	Watch
	5.9	4.05	1.52
	5.8	4.28	1.52	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	6.07	3.9	1.58	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↓ (6.03)	3.99 ↑ (3.82)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
16%

Draw
23.2%

St. Johnstone
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

23.9%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

24.6%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Stone H. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 16. Ross C. 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. 6. McMaster D. (C) 23. Telfer Ch. 24. McKinnon C. 18. Barjonas J. 7. Mochrie C. R. 11. Henderson E.	1. Steward T. (G) 3. Diabate C. 15. Baird J. 4. Boyes M. 35. Forrester A. 7. Holt J. (C) 42. McAlear R. 10. Gullan J. 18. Paton R. 24. McPake J. 9. Fowler J.
Substitutes
25. Constable S. 14. Devine A. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Hastie J. 10. Mahon R. 4. McGinty S. 17. McGrattan L. 20. Melrose C. (G) 15. Thomas D.	27. Agyeman A. 21. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 11. Stanton S. . Steven T. 8. Svedberg J. 2. Tumilty R.
Coaches
Taylor-Sinclair A.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Paton R. ⚽, Gullan J. (A),
39', Fowler J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Strapp L. 🟨,
55', McKinnon C. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
56', Telfer Ch. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
61', Paton R. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
67', McAlear R. 🟨,
77', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
78', Barjonas J. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
86', McPake J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
88', Agyeman A. 🟨,
90', McArthur C. 🟨,
90+1', MacDonald D. ↓, Constable S. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

St. Johnstone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, St. Johnstone has had a series of home games.

In this match, St. Johnstone is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Cup
06.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren	1:2 ET ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
31.01.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWLW
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Football Championship
30.01.26	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Ross County - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
01.11.25	St. Johnstone - Airdrieonians	3:0
23.09.25	Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone	1:2
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone	1:0

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