Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Metz		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4	7
	1.41	4.47	8.76
	1.39	4.41	8.46	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.41	4.45	8.5	Watch
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	4.27 ↑ (3.87)	7.89 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
66.4%

Draw
21.8%

Ajaccio
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Metz - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. (C) 7. Hein G. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 10. Diallo P. A. 18. Gueye I. 14. Sabaly C.	30. Quilichini G. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 25. Anziani J. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 4. Barreto M. (C) 27. Kante A. 22. Soumano M.
Substitutes
99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 36. Jallow A. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 8. Traore I.	31. Ayessa J. 40. Contena S. (G) 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 9. Santelli B. 23. Strata T. 11. Toure B.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Hein G. 🟨,
36', Stambouli B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Huard M. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
58', Youssouf M. 🟨,
65', Kante A. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
70', Soumano M. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
72', Deminguet J. 🟨,
73', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
73', Deminguet J. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
80', Sabaly C. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
84', Bokele Mputu M. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Toure B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Metz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajaccio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Metz is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Metz: Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Quemper S. (Injury) Silva R. (Injury) Sollacaro F. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)

Our prediction for today's Metz to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
15.02.25	Guingamp - Metz	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Metz - Clermont	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Bastia - Metz	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Metz - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Ajaccio - Laval	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
31.01.25	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Rodez - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.11.24	Ajaccio - Metz	0:1
25.01.19	Ajaccio - Metz	0:0
20.08.18	Metz - Ajaccio	3:1
11.03.16	Metz - Ajaccio	3:2
23.10.15	Ajaccio - Metz	0:1

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