Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free


	Martigues		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.37
	3.1	3.05	2.4
	3.16	3.06	2.42
	3.06	3.11	2.4	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.38
	3.06	3.19	2.53	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.91)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
30.4%

Draw
30.7%

Ajaccio
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.1%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Martigues - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martigues: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 26. Belloumou S. 10. Tlili K. 7. Orinel O. 12. Robin M. 27. Ipiele A. 9. Montiel R.	16. Sollacaro F. (G) 23. Strata T. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 25. Anziani J. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 4. Barreto M. (C) 27. Kante A. 22. Soumano M.
Substitutes
50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 11. Diawara A. 22. Djaha A. 6. Kembolo F. 29. Mendy O. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 23. Siby M.	31. Ayessa J. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 9. Santelli B. 11. Toure B. 20. Youssouf M.
Coaches
Malek H.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Montiel R. ⚽, Robin M. (A),
35', Hadjem Y. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Orinel O. ⚽,
45+2', Barreto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soumano M. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
64', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
66', Robin M. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
66', Montiel R. ↓, Djaha A. ↑,
79', Orinel O. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
79', Ipiele A. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
79', Barreto M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
83', Vidal C. 🟨,
90', Hadjem Y. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).

Recent matches Martigues is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajaccio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajaccio will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Anziani J. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
14.03.25	Martigues - Pau	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Bastia - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Laval - Martigues	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Martigues - Annecy	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Red Star - Martigues	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWWL
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
14.03.25	Ajaccio - Red Star	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Grenoble - Ajaccio	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Metz - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Ajaccio - Laval	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.10.24	Ajaccio - Martigues	1:1

Martigues - Ajaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide