The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 20.3%
Draw 26.4%
Lyon 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
26.3%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
25.9%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.4%
16.7%
75.9%
Ajaccio - Lyon Predictions
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). Lyon will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 64.5% – 87.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (15.66%), has project points - 35, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lyon has the most likely position - 7 (18.84%), has project points - 57, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, small importance29, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
Ajaccio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lyon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Ajaccio have a series of guest games.
In this match Lyon is a favorite.
There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Leg Injury)
Coutadeur M.
(Calf Injury)
Hamouma R.
(Injury)
Kone Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Mayembo F.
(Injury)
Spadanuda K.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
There will not play in Lyon: Gusto M.
(Inactive)
Lukeba C.
(Injury)
Pollersbeck J.
(Knee Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Injury)
Tete
(Inactive)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Greece
Portugal
Serbia
United-kingdom
Watch
#ad
