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Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 34.6%
Draw 31.6%
Nantes 33.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
28%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
30.4%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
54.3%
31.4%
Ajaccio - Nantes Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Nantes will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.8% โ 70.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 17 (15.88%), has project points - 37, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nantes has the most likely position - 13 (18.39%), has project points - 42, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality54, importance44, match rating49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Ajaccio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Nantes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Ajaccio: Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Coutadeur M.
(Calf Injury)
Hamouma R.
(Injury)
Kone Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Leroy B.
(Injury)
Mayembo F.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
There will not play in Nantes: Merlin Q.
(Groin Injury)
Pallois N.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Ajaccio: Djitte M. K.
(Injury)
Mangani T.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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