Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nantes		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.75	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.66
	4.45	3.95	1.75	Watch
	4.55	4.04	1.78
	4.22	4.15	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.73
	4.57	4.22	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (5.06)	4.07 ↓ (4.11)	1.75 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nantes
21.8%

Draw
23.5%

Olympique Marseille
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

22.9%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	10.4%	83.3%

Nantes - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Carlgren P. (G) 24. Guilbert F. 6. Awaziem C. 3. Cozza N. (C) 27. Machado D. 8. Lepenant J. 28. Sissoko I. 10. Abline M. 21. Kaba M. 20. Cabella R. 37. Ganago I.	12. De Lange J. (G) 6. Nnadi T. 5. Balerdi L. 32. Medina F. 33. Emerson 18. Vermeeren A. 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 10. Greenwood M. 27. Timber Q. 20. Traore H. J. 17. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
22. Acapandie M. 2. Ali Youssef 40. Bonelli L. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 26. Radakovic U.	35. Bezahaf K. 9. Gouiri A. 72. Hamzaoui H. 71. Kamissoko N. 78. Lago E. 70. Lamare El Kadmiri U. 11. Nwaneri E. 14. Paixao I. 92. Vermot T. (G)
Coaches
Collot P.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Abline M. 🟨,
26', Machado D. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
31', Timber Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Aubameyang P. ↓, Lago E. ↑,
46', Timber Q. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
49', Lago E. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Ganago I. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
54', 2 - 0, Cabella R. ⚽, Ganago I. (A),
58', 3 - 0, Abline M. ⚽, Kaba M. (A),
65', Vermeeren A. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
69', Cabella R. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
69', Kaba M. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
79', Sissoko I. ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
79', Guilbert F. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
81', Medina F. 🟨,
88', Balerdi L. ↓, Hamzaoui H. ↑,
90+4', Traore H. J. ↓, Lamare El Kadmiri U. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nantes has had a series of away games.

In this match, Marseille is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nantes: Amian K. (Injury) Centonze F. (Injury) Tabibou D. (Yellow Cards) Tati T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Egan-Riley C. (Injury) Kondogbia G. (Thigh Injury) Nadir B. (Injury) Pavard B. (Yellow Cards) Weah T. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Marseille: 0.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7:8	-1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Olympique Marseille - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.33%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Rennes - Nantes	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Auxerre - Nantes	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Metz	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	0:2
02.03.25	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	2:0
03.11.24	Nantes - Olympique Marseille	1:2
10.03.24	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	2:0
01.09.23	Nantes - Olympique Marseille	1:1
01.02.23	Nantes - Olympique Marseille	0:2
20.08.22	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	2:1

Upcoming Matches