Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Ajaccio		Nice

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3	2.4
	3.3	3.1	2.35
	3.2	3.05	2.39
	3.45	3.13	2.42
	3.25	3	2.4	Watch
	3.26	3.08	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.08)	3.05 ↓ (3.52)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
28.9%

Draw
31.2%

Nice
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.7%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	33.3%	45.8%

Ajaccio - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 10 - 20.8%). Nice will win (votes: 22 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 31.7% – 59.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 20 (20.19%), has project points - 36, has currently - 1, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nice has the most likely position - 9 (7.89%), has project points - 50, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 57, importance 36, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nice have a series of home games.

Nice will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury) Hamouma R. (Injury) Mayembo F. (Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Ramsey A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
04.09.22	Ajaccio - Lorient	0:1 ✺
31.08.22	Montpellier - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Ajaccio - Lille	1:3 ✺
21.08.22	Rennes - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Ajaccio - Lens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Nice - Köln	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.09.22	Nice - Monaco	0:1 ✺
31.08.22	Lille - Nice	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Nice - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Nice - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.01.14	Nice - Ajaccio	2:0
25.08.13	Ajaccio - Nice	0:0
26.05.13	Ajaccio - Nice	0:2
11.08.12	Nice - Ajaccio	0:1

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