Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Israel	Sport 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ajax		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	1.06	12	29	Watch
	1.06	13.50	26.00
	1.05	12	36	Watch
	1.04	12.2	18
	1.06	11.29	27.95	Watch
	1.05	11	32
	1.06	12	28	Watch
	1.05	12	27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.19)	12 ↑ (6.66)	27.99 ↑ (12.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
88.9%

Draw
7.8%

Shelbourne
3.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

14.1%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Ajax - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 71.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Paes M. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 30. Bouwman A. 17. Blind D. 5. Wijndal O. 6. Regeer Y. 23. Berghuis S. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 10. Gloukh O. 11. Godts M. 9. Dolberg K.	19. Beach E. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 18. Norris J. 29. Barrett P. (C) 4. Ledwidge K. 15. Bone S. 22. Moore S. 21. Henry-Francis J. 23. McInroy K. 27. Caffrey E. 17. Kelly D.
Substitutes
99. Arokodare T. 15. Baas Y. 8. Brandt J. 12. Caio Henrique 7. Carrizo M. 20. Edvardsen O. 22. Heerkens J. (G) 38. Marcos Leonardo 24. Mokio J. 68. Ouazane A. 2. Rosa L. 1. ter Stegen M. (G)	16. Casey O. 14. Coote A. 20. Freitas R. 2. Gannon S. 36. Jarvis W. 13. Johnson M. (G) 6. Lunney J. 73. Moylan F. (G) 11. Odubeko M. 44. Ring D. 55. Roche J. 56. Wuna J.
Coaches
Michel	Russell J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Godts M. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 2 - 0, Wijndal O. ⚽, Berghuis S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Caffrey E. 🟨,
50', 3 - 0, Dolberg K. ⚽, Berghuis S. (A),
57', Godts M. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Klaassen D. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
58', Gloukh O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
64', Berghuis S. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
65', Dolberg K. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
74', Moore S. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
77', Godts M. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
80', Henry-Francis J. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
81', McInroy K. ↓, Casey O. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Kelly D. ⚽,
86', Mokio J. 🟨,
90+3', Norris J. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
90+3', Bone S. ↓, Roche J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Ajax is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shelbourne is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Ajax: 5.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Volendam - Ajax	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ajax - Vojvodina	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Ajax - Burnley	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Vojvodina - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
02.08.26	Waterford - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Shelbourne	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Shelbourne - Nõmme Kalju	5:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Kerry - Shelbourne	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Shelbourne - Celtic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLT

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