The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akhmat Grozny 39.2%
Draw 30.7%
Rostov 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.1%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
28.8%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akhmat Grozny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Akhmat Grozny - Rostov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ulyanov V. (G) 4. Ibishev T. 90. Ndong O. 5. Cake K. 95. Adamov A. 11. Silva I. 42. Keliano M. 8. Bogosavac M. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G. 17. Cacintura E.
1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 40. Ygor Nogueira 87. Langovich A. 5. Mikhailov Y. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 10. Komarov I. 99. Suleymanov T. 6. Olusegun O.
Substitutes
87. Elberdov A. R. 70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 23. Kenzhebek G. 13. Konate M. 76. Maksuti E. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 10. Shchetinin K. 88. Shelia G. (G) 6. Sidibe K. 81. Sidorov M.
11. Ajasa I. M. 73. Aznaurov I. 59. Babakin N. 17. Golenkov E. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 80. Madrakhimov K. 84. Petrov A. (G) 27. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.
Alba J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Melkadze G. ⚽, Adamov A. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Suleymanov T. ⚽, Kuchaev K. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Keliano M. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
54', Adamov A. ↓, Sidorov M. ↑,
55', Sako O. 🟨,
57', Kuchaev K. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Ibishev T. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
70', Komarov I. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
70', Mironov A. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
76', Mikhailov Y. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
77', Silva I. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
77', Melkadze G. ↓, Maksuti E. ↑,
78', 4 - 1, Sadulaev L. ⚽, Shchetinin K. (A),
84', Sako O. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
84', Sadulaev L. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
84', Kuchaev K. ↓, Shantaliy D. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3.
In recent matches, Akhmat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rostov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Rostov: Chistyakov D.
(Knock)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
FK Rostov: 0.84% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
FK Rostov
10
3
2
5
11:17
-6
11
13
Akhmat Grozny
9
2
4
3
13:13
0
10
Last Results with these Odds
Rostov - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.7%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.