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Current Win Probability
Akhmat Grozny 54.2%
Draw 25%
Fakel 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
25.9%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
24.2%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-1%)
Akhmat Grozny - Fakel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Shelia G. (C) 81. Sidorov M. 4. Ibishev T. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 11. Silva I. 10. Shchetinin K. 42. Keliano M. 23. Kenzhebek G. 77. Melkadze G. 17. Cacintura E.
96. Obukhov I. (G) 17. Kovalev A. 22. El Mhassani H. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 18. Simonov K. 97. Magomedov B. 20. Yurganov I. 8. Bagamaev A. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 19. Pusi B. 93. Uridia M.
Substitutes
95. Adamov A. 87. Elberdov A. R. 70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 13. Konate M. 76. Maksuti E. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 90. Ndong O. 18. Romao J. 7. Sadulaev L. 6. Sidibe K. 1. Ulyanov V. (G)
10. Alshin I. 53. Bardachev M. 25. Belyaev A. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 1. Frolkin D. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 99. Giorgobiani N. 9. Gnapi Dable A. 11. Sutormin A. 55. Todorovic D. 23. Yakimov V.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.
Vasilenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Melkadze G. ⚽,
23', Kovalev A. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Uridia M. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
46', Simonov K. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
46', Shchetinin K. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
61', Kenzhebek G. ↓, Sadulaev L. ↑,
61', Keliano M. ↓, Ndong O. ↑,
70', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
71', Kovalev A. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
71', Bagamaev A. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
77', Netfullin R. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
79', Cacintura E. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Pusi B. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.
Akhmat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Fakel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Recently, Akhmat has had a series of away games.
In this match, Akhmat is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
Usa
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Shelia G. (C) 
Cake K. 
Bogosavac M. 
Silva I. 
Keliano M. 
Kenzhebek G. 
Kovalev A. 
El Mhassani H. 
Konate M. 
Ndong O. 
Sidibe K. 
Gnapi Dable A. 
Todorovic D. 
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