The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akhmat Grozny 46.3%
Draw 27.2%
Orenburg 26.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.2%
26.2%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
26.7%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akhmat Grozny's form might have worsened.
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akhmat Grozny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ulyanov V. (G) 95. Adamov A. 6. Sidibe K. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 4. Ibishev T. 11. Silva I. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 17. Cacintura E. 10. Shchetinin K. 77. Melkadze G.
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 24. Sivis M. 6. Palacios J. 5. Tataev A. (C) 26. Tsenov E. 78. Kul R. 57. Bolotov E. 10. Thompson J. 8. Puebla D. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 30. Guzina G.
Substitutes
87. Elberdov A. R. 70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 42. Keliano M. 54. Kistenev K. 13. Konate M. 76. Maksuti E. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 20. Samorodov M. 81. Sidorov M.
35. Degtev A. (G) 27. Golybin R. 7. Gonzalez J. 77. Kasadzhikov A. 38. Kasimov A. 4. Khotulev D. 53. Korobov V. (G) 22. Lukashov A. 63. Minatulaev O. 11. Nazarenko E. 80. Pykhcheev M. 3. Vedernikov D.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.
Akhmetzyanov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rybchinskiy D. ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Shchetinin K. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
60', Tataev A. ↓, Khotulev D. ↑,
62', Guzina G. 🟨,
66', Konate M. 🟨,
67', Bogosavac M. ↓, Maksuti E. ↑,
67', Melkadze G. ↓, Sidorov M. ↑,
71', Puebla D. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,
71', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
77', Cacintura E. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
83', Thompson J. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
83', Guzina G. ↓, Lukashov A. ↑,
90+3', Lukashov A. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the Premier League (Relegation) and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Akhmat (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Orenburg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Akhmat holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Akhmat: Romao J.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Orenburg: Rudakov M.
(Arm Injury)
Savelyev M.
(Inactive)
Vasiljev D.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:24 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Akhmat against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 17:7 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Orenburg
12
3
7
2
14:12
2
16
14
Akhmat Grozny
12
2
5
5
15:17
-2
11
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Orenburg: 0.84% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Akhmat Grozny - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.21%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Bosnia And Herzegovina
Russia
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Ulyanov V. (G) 
Sidibe K. 
Cake K. 
Bogosavac M. 
Silva I. 
Cacintura E. 
Sivis M. 
Palacios J. 
Tsenov E. 
Thompson J. 
Puebla D. 
Guzina G. 
Konate M. 
Samorodov M. 
Lukashov A. 
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