Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Akron Tolyatti		Rotor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.85
	1.94	3.68	4.11	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.98)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	3.99 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
49.7%

Draw
27%

Rotor
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Akron Tolyatti - Rotor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 2. Rocha Y. 26. Escoval R. 19. Bokoev M. 21. Fernandez R. 15. Loncar S. 5. Djurasovic A. 23. Bistrovic K. 71. Pestryakov D. 22. Dzyuba A. (C) 11. Benchimol	13. Chagrov N. (G) 80. Bardybakhin V. 97. Pokidyshev N. 18. Kaynov M. 11. Kleshchenko A. 17. Shilnikov G. 10. Simonyan A. 6. Makarov S. (C) 5. Troshechkin A. 22. Aliev S. 77. Eldarushev A.
Substitutes
10. Arevalo K. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 91. Boldyrev M. 35. Djakovac I. 69. Dmitriev A. 88. Gudiev V. (G) 80. Khosonov K. 6. Kuzmin M. 8. Maradishvili K. 89. Popenkov D. 78. Vasyutin A. (G)	73. Aznaurov I. 44. Dadic T. 15. Danilkin E. 37. Fomin D. 70. Khokhlachev A. 34. Khramtsov M. 2. Korotkov A. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 19. Plotnikov N. 69. Rodionov I. 7. Safronov I. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)
Coaches
Iskakov M.	Parfenov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bardybakhin V. ↓, Korotkov A. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Shilnikov G. ⚽, Aliev S. (A),
54', Benchimol ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑,
54', Bistrovic K. ↓, Maradishvili K. ↑,
59', Maradishvili K. 🟨,
72', Simonyan A. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
72', Djurasovic A. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
80', Kleshchenko A. ↓, Danilkin E. ↑,
80', Pestryakov D. ↓, Djakovac I. ↑,
86', Aliev S. 🟨,
90+6', Terekhovsky I. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Akron is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rotor: Arbuzov Y. (Inactive) Makarov A. (Inactive) Plotnikov N. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Akron won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
20.05.26	Rotor - Akron Tolyatti	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Krylya Sovetov - Akron Tolyatti	4:1 ✺
11.05.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLLLW
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
20.05.26	Rotor - Akron Tolyatti	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
16.05.26	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ufa - Rotor	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
20.05.26	Rotor - Akron Tolyatti	0:2
Russian FNL
19.03.22	Akron Tolyatti - Rotor	1:0
11.09.21	Rotor - Akron Tolyatti	1:2

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