Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Akron Tolyatti		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	6.34	5.04	1.48
	6.51	5.04	1.51	Watch
	5.6	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (5.6)	4.73 ↑ (4.1)	1.5 (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
15.6%

Draw
20.3%

Krasnodar
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

22.4%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21.9%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Akron Tolyatti - Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Akron will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gudiev V. (G) 26. Escoval R. 24. Nedelcearu I. 19. Bokoev M. 21. Fernandez R. 35. Djakovac I. 80. Khosonov K. 8. Maradishvili K. 11. Benchimol 22. Dzyuba A. (C) 71. Pestryakov D.	1. Agkatsev S. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 3. Tormena 5. Jubal Junior 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 6. Lenini K. 11. Joao Batxi 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 88. Krivtsov N. 9. Cordoba J.
Substitutes
10. Arevalo K. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 5. Djurasovic A. 69. Dmitriev A. 6. Kuzmin M. 15. Loncar S. 90. Morozov A. 89. Popenkov D. 96. Postrigan V. (G) 2. Rocha Y. 78. Vasyutin A. (G)	23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 90. Cobnan M. D. 66. Douglas Augusto 34. Karpenko A. (G) 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 17. Paltsev V.
Coaches
Tedeev Z.	Musaev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Dzyuba A. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
63', Djakovac I. 🟨,
65', Maradishvili K. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
69', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
71', Krivtsov N. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
71', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
78', Djakovac I. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
78', Nedelcearu I. ↓, Morozov A. ↑,
82', Escoval R. 🟨,
90+5', Spertsyan E. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2).

Akron has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krasnodar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Krasnodar: Diego Costa (Yellow Cards) Koksharov A. (Injury) Petrov S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stezhko V. (Knee Injury) Victor Sa (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Akron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 14.68% Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
27.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTLL
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
26.04.26	Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Zenit - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
08.04.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
13.09.25	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	2:1
05.04.25	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:0
21.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Krasnodar	2:5
Russian Cup
03.05.23	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 penalties

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