Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 15

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Akron Tolyatti		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.98	6.11
	1.56	3.98	6.11
	1.5	4	6.15	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	3.97 ↑ (3.9)	5.99 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
61%

Draw
23.5%

Shinnik
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Akron will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Shinnik will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 9. Azarov V. 14. Bokoev M. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 70. Eldarushev A. 18. Kilin A. (C) 24. Pogosov A. 77. Savichev K.	56. Dovbnya A. (G) 38. Aleynikov V. 21. Andreev I. 55. Guzj D. 53. Kotin N. 19. Rubtsov I. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 8. Samsonov A. 13. Semenov A. 17. Shadrintsev D. 5. Zinkov V.
Substitutes
7. Apekov R. 59. Bart R. 20. Dimoski B. 22. Galkin V. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 11. Ponce A. 19. Sangare D. (G)	7. Gashchenkov M. 61. Malakhov A. 37. Malykhin D. 9. Nizamutdinov E. 10. Sokolov I. 16. Stavpets A. 76. Sukhomlinov D. 77. Valiakhmetov E. 75. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Kaleshin E.	Khomukha D.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Akron is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shinnik is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Akron to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Cup
19.10.23	Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
02.10.23	Akron Tolyatti - Khimki	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Ryazan - Akron Tolyatti	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWLW
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian Cup
19.10.23	Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	KAMAZ - Shinnik	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Shinnik - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Shinnik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
19.10.23	Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik	3:0
Russian FNL
13.11.22	Shinnik - Akron Tolyatti	1:0
24.07.22	Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik	2:3
15.11.20	Shinnik - Akron Tolyatti	1:3
08.08.20	Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik	2:1

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