The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ertis Pavlodar 34.6%
Draw 26.1%
Aktobe 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
25.3%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
24.5%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ertis Pavlodar's performance.
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ertis Pavlodar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rikhard M. (G) 17. Opeh S. 4. Slambekov D. 25. Jevtic M. 66. Malikaydar S. 35. Ramos L. 24. Khalmatov M. 12. Karimov R. 97. Poe J. (C) 98. Sultaniyazov Z. 9. Leonardo Kalil
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 12. Topalov D. 23. Erlanov T. 4. Kusyapov T. 27. Dosmagambetov T. (C) 6. Atanasov J. 20. Zhukov G. 14. Pibe 17. Nani 7. Sosah D. 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
13. Baybosynov N. 21. Berdibek D. 8. Esimbekov D. 32. Falaye O. A. 26. Mbodj M. 7. Mukhametzhanov T. 77. Nurlan A. 15. Nyrkov D. 31. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 14. Raskatov V. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 5. Toleuov B.
21. Alvarez P. 95. Aymbetov A. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 13. Miangue S. 9. Ojo S. 22. Seydakhmet E. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 77. Zaria G.
Coaches
Shoytymov E.
Cherevchenko I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Atanasov J. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
20', Dosmagambetov T. 🟨,
22', Karimov R. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Shushenachev A. ⚽, Pibe (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Poe J. ↓, Mukhametzhanov T. ↑,
46', Khalmatov M. ↓, Esimbekov D. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Leonardo Kalil ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Karimov R. ⚽,
64', Sultaniyazov Z. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
69', Pibe ↓, Ojo S. ↑,
69', Zhukov G. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
72', Leonardo Kalil ↓, Toleuov B. ↑,
79', Shushenachev A. ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
79', Topalov D. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
81', Seydakhmet E. 🟨,
82', Malikaydar S. ↓, Nyrkov D. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 1.
Ertis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aktobe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aktobe has had a series of away games.
Aktobe could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Aktobe
26
12
6
8
38:31
7
42
11
Ertis Pavlodar
25
6
8
11
26:34
-8
26
Last Results with these Odds
Aktobe - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.2%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Usa
Watch
#ad
Rikhard M. (G) 
Opeh S. 
Jevtic M. 
Ramos L. 
Poe J. (C) 
Topalov D. 
Atanasov J. 
Pibe 
Nani 
Sosah D. 
Mbodj M. 
Alvarez P. 
Miangue S. 
Ojo S. 
Zaria G. 
Cherevchenko I. 
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
