Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 28

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	JACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Canal GOAT, SporTV 2
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
France	DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong-kong	on.cc
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, SPOTV 2
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
Singapore	SPOTV 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Vietnam	SPOTV 2
World	Onefootball


	Damac		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.42
	6.5	4.6	1.42
	5.5	4.35	1.49
	6.66	4.77	1.45
	5.05	4.57	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4	1.44
	6.95	4.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↓ (6.83)	4.4 ↓ (4.68)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
15.3%

Draw
21.2%

Al-Qadisiya
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

19.9%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.5%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Damac - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 5. Rabea H. 13. Al Obaid A. (C) 2. Sylla M. 6. Abdullah T. 7. Al Qahtani A. 8. Vada V. 14. Okita J. 11. Meite Y.	1. Casteels K. (G) 40. Mahnashi I. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 12. Al Shahrani Y. 7. Al Ammar T. 25. Otavio 8. Nandez N. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 4. Al Rashidi N. 18. Al Saadi N. 17. Al Salkhadi M. 88. Al Samiri K. 3. Bedrane A. 80. Naji Y. 26. Sharahili R.	28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 90. Al Yuhaybi A. 19. Asiri H. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 24. Qasem M. 4. Thakri J.
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Nandez N. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Vada V. ⚽, Okita J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Ammar T. ↓, Gabriel Carvalho ↑,
46', Okita J. ↓, Bedrane A. ↑,
64', Mahnashi I. 🟨,
65', Nandez N. 🟨,
72', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Sharahili R. ↑,
77', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).

Recent performances by Damac have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Qadisiya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Damac won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Qadisiya - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
04.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	3:0 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Najma - Damac	1:3 ✺
05.03.26	Damac - Al-Riyadh	3:0 ✺
26.02.26	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
05.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
27.12.25	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	1:1
14.03.25	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	1:0
25.10.24	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	2:1
06.02.21	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	2:2

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