The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alacranes de Durango 53.9%
Draw 24.6%
Tapatío 21.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.4%
25.7%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.6%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Alacranes de Durango - Tapatío Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alacranes de Durango (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 21. Oteo D. 35. Flores S. (C) 4. Munoz J. 3. Gonzalez J. 5. Cantu E. 17. Reyes Olguin J. I. 30. Escoboza A. 7. Gutierrez L. 6. Vega Hernandez C. 27. Angulo J.
31. Liceaga J. (G) 43. Parra R. 63. Cendejas M. 42. Delgadillo D. 58. Uribe J. 196. Covarrubias D. 47. Garcia G. 44. Zamora S. (C) 255. Gutierrez G. 69. Villaseca D. 49. Moragrega V.
Substitutes
2. Garcia A. 14. Lorona L. 12. Lozano M. 8. Montano T. 11. Morales L. 26. Munoz B. 13. Ontiveros A. 33. Pelaez A. (G) 28. Torres J. 19. Valenzuela A.
55. Esparza S. 48. Jimenez L. 64. Latorre D. 60. Ledesma L. 61. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 50. Medina C. 54. Nuno R. 70. Torres L. 195. Zamarripa D.
Coaches
Real H.
Melendez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gutierrez L. ⚽,
4', Gutierrez G. 🟨,
5', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
9', Angulo J. 🟨,
27', Delgadillo D. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Reyes Olguin J. I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Uribe J. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
46', Gutierrez G. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
67', Delgadillo D. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
67', Covarrubias D. ↓, Ledesma L. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽,
70', Cendejas M. 🟨,
72', Angulo J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Esparza S. (Own goal),
78', Gutierrez L. ↓, Montano T. ↑,
78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Ontiveros A. ↑,
79', Villaseca D. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
83', Escoboza A. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
83', Vega Hernandez C. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 9th).
Alacranes de Durango is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tapatío has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tapatío may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Alacranes de Durango for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alacranes de Durango has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 1.5:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alacranes de Durango against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals.
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Munoz J. (G) 
Angulo J. 
Villaseca D. 
Medina C. 
