Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Jaiba Brava		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.35
	2.18	3.27	3.27	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.25
	2.13	3.1	3.18
	2.13	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
42.7%

Draw
28.9%

Alacranes de Durango
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Jaiba Brava - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Jaiba Brava is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Alacranes de Durango shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Jaiba Brava could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Jaiba Brava is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alacranes de Durango	11	5	2	4	11:11	0	17
13	Jaiba Brava	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.10.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Correcaminos UAT - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Jaiba Brava - Dorados	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jaiba Brava - Venados	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTLW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.10.26	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Dorados - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Alacranes de Durango - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLT

Jaiba Brava - Alacranes de Durango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide