The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Morelia 61.3%
Draw 22.2%
Jaiba Brava 16.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.8%
21.6%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
20.6%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Atlético Morelia - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 2. Lopez Aburto R. 5. Van Rankin J. 6. De Buen D. 15. Botello O. 8. Martinez J. (C) 13. Andrade A. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Aguilar D. 17. Nambo M. 28. Flores A.
13. Ruiz G. (C) 3. Pena R. 26. Manzanarez O. 17. Ramirez I. 25. Padilla A. 20. Tovar J. 5. Ochoa I. 33. Martinez S. 11. Cruz C. 10. Torres E. 19. Lopez D.
Substitutes
21. Castellanos E. 14. Castellanos R. 1. Galan R. (G) 3. Hernandez S. 32. Izarra A. 11. Lopez V. 18. Martinez G. 7. Romero P. 35. Sanchez Cruz E. S. 170. Vieyra Fuerte B. A.
22. Arriaga N. 14. Corona N. 27. Escalante E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 8. Gonzalez R. 15. Ham Puertos A. M. 21. Lopez F. 16. Martinez J. 177. Mendez O. 4. Rios A.
Coaches
Colace H.
Ruiz M. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Ramirez I. 🟨,
32', Flores A. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Aguilar D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Van Rankin J. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
45', Manzanarez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ramirez I. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
62', Martinez S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
62', Tovar J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
68', Flores A. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
73', Botello O. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
73', Rodriguez M. ↓, Castellanos R. ↑,
79', Torres E. 🟨,
80', Cruz C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
80', Aguilar D. ↓, Izarra A. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
86', Martinez J. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
86', Nambo M. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
90+3', Lopez D. ↓, Ham Puertos A. M. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.
Atlético Morelia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Jaiba Brava has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Atlético Morelia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Atlético Morelia is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Morelia has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Morelia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).
Mexico
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Pasquel Colin R. (G) 
Cruz C. 
Castellanos R. 
Galan R. (G) 
Izarra A. 
Colace H. 
