Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Morelos (Morelia)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Atlético Morelia		Jaiba Brava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.61
	2.22	3.25	3.07	Watch
	2.1	3.02	3.42	Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 (2.22)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.24 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Morelia
41.7%

Draw
29.8%

Jaiba Brava
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Morelia - Jaiba Brava Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torres A. (G) 9. del Campo R. 14. Dominguez M. 23. Esqueda D. 10. Figueroa F. 16. Garcia U. 8. Martinez J. 26. Martinez J. 32. Moreno G. 22. Parra D. (C) 24. Vazquez B.	13. Ruiz G. (G) 22. Clemente J. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 7. Magana D. 29. Pedroza M. 25. Perez O. 4. Rios A. 8. Torres E.
Substitutes
19. Gallegos D. 7. Islas O. 85. Munoz J. (G) 17. Nambo M. 29. Ochoa Brandon 30. Sandoval L. 31. Vivas J. F.	14. Corona N. 6. Garcia E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gonzalez C. 33. Gonzalez R. 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 19. Martinez F. 21. Peralta J. 26. Perez E. 10. Soto O.
Coaches
Ortiz M.	Ruiz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Parra D. 🟨,
30', Rios A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Magana D. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
48', Martinez J. 🟨,
63', Pedroza M. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
63', Perez O. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
73', Dominguez M. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
82', Esqueda D. ↓, Ochoa Brandon ↑,
82', Figueroa F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
89', Escoboza A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
90+2', del Campo R. ↓, Vivas J. F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Jaiba Brava is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.

Atlético Morelia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaiba Brava is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético Morelia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.11.25	Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Irapuato - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Morelia - Tapatío	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTL
- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1 ✺
23.10.25	Venados - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Jaiba Brava - Atlético La Paz	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.01.25	Atlético Morelia - Jaiba Brava	1:0
27.07.24	Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia	1:1
20.03.22	Atlético Morelia - Jaiba Brava	2:1
04.12.21	Atlético Morelia - Jaiba Brava	0:2
30.11.21	Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia	2:2
03.11.21	Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia	1:1
23.01.21	Atlético Morelia - Jaiba Brava	1:0

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