Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Zapotlanejo

	1	X	2
	1.07	11.38	18.17	Watch
	1.06	12.9	21	Watch
	1.03	10	34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↑ (1.02)	11.43 ↓ (14)	24.39 ↓ (55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
88.1%

Draw
8.1%

Zapotlanejo
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.6%

6.7%

1.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Zapotlanejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Alacranes de Durango - Zapotlanejo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, ⚽,
79', 5 - 0, ⚽,
87', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Alacranes de Durango is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zapotlanejo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Alacranes de Durango is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	La Piedad - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
03.10.25	Alacranes de Durango - Colima	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.10.25	Zapotlanejo - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Colima - Zapotlanejo	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Zapotlanejo - Leones Negros 2	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Zapotlanejo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL

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