Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albacete Balompié		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3	3.2	2.28	Watch
	3.27	3.35	2.33
	2.97	3.39	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.33	3.22	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.42)	3.24 ↓ (3.62)	2.28 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
29.8%

Draw
29%

Castellón
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

25%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	23.3%	26.7%

Albacete Balompié - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 15 - 50%). Castellón will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 50%). Castellón (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Castellón (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Castellón (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (C) 15. Gamez F. 23. Pepe 22. Lopez L. 21. Neva C. 27. Bernabeu D. 17. Melendez A. 8. Fernandez M. 14. San Bartolome V. 7. Puertas A. 10. Betancor J.	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 3. Brignani F. 12. Alcazar L. 8. Barri 15. Gerenabarrena B. 6. Doue M. 18. Santiago P. 10. Suero I. 9. Camara O.
Substitutes
26. Capi 29. Gomez F. 3. Jogo 16. Lazo J. 5. Moreno J. 20. Obeng S. 6. Pacheco A. 30. Ramos M. (G) 19. Rubio A. 24. Vallejo J.	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 31. Angulo I. 29. De Nipoti T. 27. Fadel I. 23. Garcia A. 19. Jakobsen A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 37. Segura C. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Fernandez M. 🟨,
36', Doue M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Betancor J. ⚽, Puertas A. (A),
44', Brignani F. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Brignani F. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Melendez A. 🟨,
62', Doue M. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
65', Bernabeu D. ↓, Jogo ↑,
65', Melendez A. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
65', San Bartolome V. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
73', Betancor J. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
78', Suero I. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
78', Alcazar L. ↓, Tincho ↑,
80', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
80', Gamez F. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
88', Lazo J. 🟨,
89', Santiago P. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90', Jakobsen A. 🟨,
90', Jogo 🟨,
90+5', Jimenez A. 🟨,
90+6', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2.

Albacete has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Castellón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Albacete: Cedeno E. (Injury) Lorenzo (Yellow Cards) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Marino D. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Calatrava A. (Yellow Cards) Cipenga B. (International duty) Mabil A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Albacete: Agus Medina (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Sienra A. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellon	9	6	2	1	15:4	11	20
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Albacete Balompié - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.61%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.26	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	0:4 ✺
16.03.26	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Huesca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Almería	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.26	Castellón - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Castellón	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Castellón - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	0:1
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
04.04.25	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	2:2
08.12.24	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:0
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	2:6
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.04.22	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	0:0
28.08.21	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	3:1

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