Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.05
	2.28	3.15	3.61
	2.32	3.13	3.19	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.33	3.03	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.1)	3.09 ↑ (3.04)	3.28 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
41.5%

Draw
30.1%

Central Español
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Albion Montevideo - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 25. Romero A. 2. Couture F. 24. Burdin E. 16. Alvarez J. 5. Ginella F. (C) 6. Moschion T. 27. Costa S. 10. Airala C. 9. Lopez A. 22. Vera A.	1. Rodriguez S. (G) 17. Fernandez L. 22. Aramburu E. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 3. Dupont J. 4. Montiel M. 24. Gandolfo G. 7. Munoz F. 30. Alonso M. 28. Aguilera M. 9. Tarragona R.
Substitutes
30. Acosta B. 15. Alcoba P. 13. Lacoste P. 80. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 34. Pereira A. 29. Puente F. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N. 11. Toledo H.	11. Gandulfo L. 23. Gonella I. 16. Mendez I. 10. Muniz R. 25. Navarro S. 5. Pereira J. 21. Pino L. 12. Sandona A. 27. Sosa F. 20. Vera D.
Coaches
Nieves F.	de Ambrosio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Airala C. 🟨,
36', Munoz F. 🟥,
43', 0 - 1, Aguilera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
46', Moschion T. ↓, Toledo H. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Costa S. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
60', Alonso M. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Vera A. ⚽,
67', Aguilera M. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
67', Tarragona R. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
69', Airala C. ↓, Rodriguez Trezza L. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Rodriguez Trezza L. ⚽,
76', Alvarez J. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
76', Costa S. ↓, Alcoba P. ↑,
78', 5 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
79', Montiel M. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
79', Dupont J. ↓, Gandulfo L. ↑,
83', Gandolfo G. 🟨,
84', 6 - 1, Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Romero A. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
85', Pino L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 1.

Albion is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central Español has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Albion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.02%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:2 ✺
31.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WTTWW
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.04.26	Central Español - Danubio	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Central Español	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	0:0
03.08.25	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	1:1
04.04.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	1:2
11.10.21	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	3:4
30.06.21	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	1:2
19.10.20	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	2:1
25.08.20	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	0:0

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