Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Olmos A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3	3.5
	2.21	3.09	3.71
	2.11	3.18	3.63	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.12	3.1	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.14)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	3.58 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
43.8%

Draw
30.4%

Cerro Largo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Cerro Largo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 25. Romero A. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 24. Burdin E. 27. Costa S. 5. Ginella F. 6. Moschion T. 22. Vera A. 11. Toledo H. 9. Lopez A. 16. Alvarez J.	12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. (C) 16. Fracchia M. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 5. Marcel S. 25. Jourdan E. 10. Pandiani A. 18. Daguerre D. 9. Correa T.
Substitutes
30. Acosta B. 10. Airala C. 15. Alcoba P. 2. Couture F. 20. Gutierrez R. 31. Lerda D. (G) 8. Perdomo O. 29. Puente F. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N.	11. Anasco M. 13. Barone B. 22. Bertocchi N. 30. Hernandez B. 1. Moreno J. (G) 3. Piegas A. 21. Pou J. 28. Ramos N. 19. Sellecchia F. 7. Viera G.
Coaches
Nieves F.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
16', Vera A. 🟨,
20', Costa S. 🟨,
26', Costa S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Lopez A. (Own goal),
36', Daguerre D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Pandiani A. ⚽,
57', Jourdan E. 🟨,
59', Daguerre D. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
65', Alvarez J. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
65', Vera A. ↓, Airala C. ↑,
69', Jourdan E. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Toledo H. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
82', Moschion T. ↓, Alcoba P. ↑,
85', Franca S. 🟨,
85', Marcel S. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
89', Lopez A. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albion will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWLT
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.26	Cerro Largo - Danubio	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	1:3 ✺
09.03.26	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.09.22	Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo	1:2
16.04.22	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1

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