Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 1

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.9	Watch
	2	3.15	3.65
	2	3.33	4.12
	2.01	3.23	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.97	3.25	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	3.88 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
47%

Draw
29%

Montevideo Wanderers
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 34. Pereira A. 2. Couture F. 24. Burdin E. 16. Alvarez J. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. (C) 27. Costa S. 18. Acosta B. 10. Airala C. 9. Lopez A.	1. Buffa A. (G) 21. Benitez S. 13. Formiliano F. (C) 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 31. Furtado N. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Alberti J. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 80. Urretaviscaya J. 30. Labandeira F. 19. Zeballos J.
Substitutes
15. Alcoba P. 17. de los Santos M. 32. Figueroa T. 13. Lacoste P. 80. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 29. Puente F. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N. 11. Toledo H.	14. Acosta M. 18. Baju L. 29. Crucci E. 25. Freitas G. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 70. Levato M. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R. 6. Zazpe L.
Coaches
Nieves F.	Corujo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Acosta B. 🟨,
26', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Pereira A. 🟨,
62', Pereira A. ↓, Alcoba P. ↑,
62', Acosta B. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
72', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
76', Costa S. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
78', Zeballos J. ↓, Zazpe L. ↑,
78', Olivera Moreira L. N. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
86', Lopez A. ↓, Toledo H. ↑,
86', Airala C. ↓, Rodriguez Trezza L. ↑,
90+1', Labandeira F. ↓, Levato M. ↑,

Preview

Albion is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wanderers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Albion is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albion won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.05.26	Danubio - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	6:1 ✺
11.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWWW
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1
27.08.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Albion Montevideo	0:0
18.06.22	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1
13.03.22	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1

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