Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.98	2.98
	2.29	3.02	3.62
	2.26	3.08	3.36	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.3
	2.24	2.98	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)	3.36 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
41.1%

Draw
31.3%

Albion Montevideo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Defensor Sporting - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 14. Sorondo F. 15. Frugone A. 6. Amaro M. 27. Juan Jorge 8. Wunsch N. 77. Castro F. 26. Montenegro B. 9. Machado A.	1. Jaume S. (G) 25. Romero A. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 24. Burdin E. 27. Costa S. 5. Ginella F. 6. Moschion T. 22. Vera A. 10. Airala C. 9. Lopez A. 16. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
5. Barrios G. 20. Caballero M. 30. Cuello E. 7. Lozano B. 1. Machado L. (G) 2. Martinez D. 28. Navarro L. 4. Rodriguez G. 17. Rodriguez V. 22. Torterolo A.	30. Acosta B. 2. Couture F. 32. Figueroa T. 20. Gutierrez R. 7. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 29. Puente F. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N. 11. Toledo H.
Coaches
Cuello R.	Nieves F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Airala C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', De los Santos G. ↓, Caballero M. ↑,
57', Amaro M. 🟨,
64', Frugone A. 🟨,
66', Castro F. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
66', Juan Jorge ↓, Barrios G. ↑,
66', Machado A. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
68', Romero A. 🟨,
69', Barrios G. 🟨,
70', Costa S. ↓, Rodriguez Trezza L. ↑,
79', Airala C. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
79', Lopez A. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
83', Torterolo A. 🟨,
83', Wunsch N. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
87', Ginella F. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
87', Vera A. ↓, Leonardo Pais ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Albion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Defensor Sporting - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.01%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.03.26	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTL
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
01.10.22	Defensor Sporting - Albion Montevideo	2:0
07.05.22	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:3
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.09.21	Defensor Sporting - Albion Montevideo	0:1
16.06.21	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:2

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