Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Colón Montevideo		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	2.82	3.3
	2.25	2.86	3.59
	2.53	2.96	2.92	Watch
	2.25	2.84	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.49)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	3.28 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
39.9%

Draw
32%

Albion Montevideo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

32%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

32.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Colón Montevideo - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1).

Colón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Albion is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Albion has had a series of home games.

Colón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Colón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.68%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.09.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Colón Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTTT
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Porongos	4:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Artigas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:2
08.09.24	Colón Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	3:0
25.05.24	Albion Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:0

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