Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62	Watch
	4.95	3.45	1.65
	5.4	3.83	1.7
	4.97	3.73	1.68	Watch
	5	3.5	1.65
	5.09	3.64	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.38)	3.61 ↑ (3.39)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
18.5%

Draw
25.7%

Peñarol de Montevideo
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.3%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 25. Romero A. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 24. Burdin E. 29. Puente F. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. 7. Leonardo Pais 10. Airala C. 9. Lopez A. 11. Toledo H.	29. Aguerre W. (G) 2. Escobar F. 4. Gularte E. 6. Ferreira L. 15. Olivera M. (C) 5. Remedi E. 21. Jesus Trindade 8. Fernandez N. 10. Fernandez L. 23. Togni G. 19. Arezo M.
Substitutes
30. Acosta B. 15. Alcoba P. 2. Couture F. 17. de los Santos M. 32. Figueroa T. 20. Gutierrez R. 31. Lerda D. (G) 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N. 22. Vera A.	40. Alvarez B. 77. Angulo L. 18. Barbas G. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 25. Gonzalez M. 3. Lemos M. 30. Muhlethaler S. 14. Rodriguez K. 32. Umpierrez L.
Coaches
Nieves F.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Olivera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Togni G. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
46', Jesus Trindade ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
61', Puente F. 🟨,
62', Leonardo Pais ↓, Vera A. ↑,
62', Escobar F. 🟨,
68', Aguerre W. 🟨,
75', Lopez A. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
75', Toledo H. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
75', Puente F. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
79', Ginella F. 🟨,
82', Olivera M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
82', Fernandez L. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
82', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
85', Ginella F. ↓, Alcoba P. ↑,
88', Lacoste P. 🟨,
90', Angulo L. 🟨,
90+4', Lacoste P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).

Albion has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peñarol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Albion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.57%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.03.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.03.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.08.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:0
23.07.22	Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
19.02.22	Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1

Upcoming Matches