Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)


	Albirex Niigata		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.80
	1.82	3.25	3.80
	1.72	3.45	4.00
	1.98	3.58	4.17
	1.78	3.86	3.76	Watch
	1.82	3.30	4.10
	1.87	3.34	4.20
	1.88	3.30	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.51)	3.42 ↓ (3.78)	3.95 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
49.9%

Draw
26.9%

Kagoshima United
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albirex Niigata's form might have worsened.

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.

Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Kagoshima United (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Uchiyama S. (G) 77. Funaki K. 15. Hayakawa F. 19. Hoshi Y. 9. Iury Castilho 13. Konagaya C. 32. Kuwayama K. 70. Maeda R. 55. Moraes M. 38. Mori K. 26. Sato M.	31. Sakata D. (G) 11. Fukuda M. 27. Kawashima K. 73. Kim M. 16. Muramatsu K. 13. Nagamine Y. 22. Takahashi A. 10. Take S. 7. Tanaka W. 39. Toyama T. 14. Yoshio K.
Substitutes
22. Arai T. 5. Fitzgerald M. 25. Fujiwara S. 40. Ishiyama A. 6. Kasai K. 3. Kato T. 30. Okumura J. 17. Shimabuku K. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)	44. Aoki Y. 9. Arita R. 35. Egawa G. 20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 4. Hirose K. 21. Kawakami K. (G) 18. Kawamura K. 2. Saga R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Take S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 2, Toyama T. ⚽,
72', 0 - 3, Saga R. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 4, Endo M. ⚽,

Preview

Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Niigata is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	3:4 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Albirex Niigata - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 penalties ✺
30.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Kagoshima United - Gifu	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
16.08.26	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	1:3 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:1 ET
Japan J2 League
05.10.19	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	6:0
29.06.19	Kagoshima United - Albirex Niigata	1:3

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