The best margin for this event is 12.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 29.2%
Draw 27.9%
Kagoshima United 42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
27.4%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Matsumoto Yamaga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Kagoshima United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 16th and 1st in the Promotion - J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
Matsumoto Yamaga has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kagoshima United is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kagoshima United may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kagoshima United holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Matsumoto Yamaga has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:14 (averaging 1.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Matsumoto Yamaga against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 1.3:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kagoshima Utd
9
7
2
0
19:10
9
23
16
Yamaga
9
1
5
3
8:11
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Matsumoto Yamaga - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.