The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 44.5%
Draw 29.8%
Albirex Niigata 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
29.2%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
29.4%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65%
30%
5%
Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1% โ 85.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Nagoya (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Nagoya (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nagoya Grampus will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Pisano A. (G) 70. Hara T. 20. Mikuni K. 3. Sato Y. 27. Nakayama K. 15. Inagaki S. 8. Shiihashi K. 55. Tokumoto S. 7. Izumi R. 77. Junker K. 18. Nagai K.
23. Yoshimitsu D. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 5. Fitzgerald M. 42. Hashimoto K. 16. Komi Y. 22. Arai T. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 7. Taniguchi K.
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 6. Kawazura A. 33. Kikuchi T. 14. Morishima T. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 16. Takeda Y. (G) 17. Uchida T. 11. Yamagishi Y.
11. Danilo Gomes 1. Fujita K. (G) 15. Hayakawa F. 31. Horigome Y. 3. Inamura H. 46. Kasai K. 8. Miyamoto E. 33. Takagi Y. 9. Yamura K.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.
Kimori D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
46', Junker K. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Izumi R. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
64', Nakayama K. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
70', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
70', Arai T. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
75', Nagai K. 🟨,
75', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
76', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
83', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
83', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Kikuchi T. ⚽, Uchida T. (A),
90+2', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4.
Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niigata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
Japan
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Pisano A. (G) 
Junker K. 
Geria J. 
Danilo Gomes 
