Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.3	3.45
	2.11	3.15	3.55
	2.09	3.12	3.46	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.45
	2.05	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	3.42 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
44.6%

Draw
28.6%

Mérida AD
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Alcorcón - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Lachevre M. 4. Rojas J. 27. Santiago A. 15. Manrique C. 21. Llorente R. 16. Capitas M. 8. Ballesteros Y. 10. Rodriguez R. 9. Perez E. 7. Aparicio E.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 28. del Cerro S. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 22. Climent M. 11. Doncel C. 17. Ganet P. 23. Busi 10. Juanjo 14. Beltran L. 9. Mizzian M.
Substitutes
6. Alonso I. 14. da Costa M. 13. Josele (G) 35. Llorente E. 17. Navarro S. 12. Nunez J. 5. Rentero J. 30. Rodriguez S. 18. Stitch	12. Beer J. 21. Beneit R. 4. Bonaque M. 18. Falcon E. 16. Garcia P. 15. Prevedini M. 3. Sergi 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Doncel C. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Doncel C. ⚽,
32', Perez E. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
32', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, Llorente R. ⚽,
55', Busi ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
55', Ganet P. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
57', Pipe ↓, Sergi ↑,
58', Climent M. 🟨,
61', Manrique C. 🟨,
63', Mizzian M. 🟨,
68', Pareja Alvarez L. ↓, Bonaque M. ↑,
69', Llorente R. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Navarro S. ⚽,
79', Mizzian M. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
88', Manrique C. ↓, da Costa M. ↑,
88', Capitas M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
89', Beneit R. 🟨,
90+4', Ballesteros Y. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Alcorcón is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Salamanca - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.10.24	Recreativo Huelva - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Alcorcón - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Alcorcón - Betis B	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.10.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Mérida AD - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Marbella - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.05.23	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	0:0
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2

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