Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday


	Alcorcón		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.25	1.45
	4.58	3.86	1.51
	4.9	4.4	1.6	Watch
	4.7	4.4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↓ (5.1)	4.23 ↑ (3.75)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
18.6%

Draw
21.6%

Rayo Vallecano
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

23.7%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcorcón: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 23. Chema 17. Garcia V. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 14. Lopez A. 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 11. Sousa D.	13. Cardenas D. (G) 34. Camello S. 3. Chavarria P. 19. de Frutos J. 9. Falcao R. 18. Garcia A. 24. Lejeune F. 17. Lopez U. 29. Mendez D. 4. Pascual M. 14. Perez K.
Substitutes
26. Addai E. 6. Babin J. 9. Borrego C. 2. Castro J. 18. Eteki Y. 28. Garrido J. 27. Hernandez E. 20. Lopez I. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K. 8. Rodriganez J. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	22. de Tomas R. 12. Espino A. 5. Hernandez A. 30. Mario R. 11. Nteka R. 7. Palazon I. 6. Pozo J. 23. Valentin O.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Rayo Vallecano have a series of guest games.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Mirandés - Alcorcón	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWLLW
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
02.09.23	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid	0:7 ✺
21.08.23	Granada - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
11.08.23	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.21	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	0:3
02.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	2:1
29.06.20	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
01.10.19	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.18	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
17.12.17	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	2:1

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