Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.1	7
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.59	3.71	6.04
	1.61	3.64	5.6
	1.59	3.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.34)	3.48 ↓ (4.32)	5.83 ↓ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
58%

Draw
26.3%

Talavera de la Reina
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

21.2%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alcorcón - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Talavera will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Alcorcón is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcorcón - Linense	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Badajoz - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLWW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.02.23	Talavera de la Reina - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Talavera de la Reina	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:2
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:1
21.07.21	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:2

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