Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Las Palmas		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	7	Watch
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.52	3.85	7	Watch
	1.54	3.8	6
	1.57	3.89	7.21
	1.78	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.98	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	3.7 ↑ (3.22)	6.38 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
59.7%

Draw
25.5%

Amorebieta
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Palmas's performance.

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Palmas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Las Palmas - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 6 (22.8%), has project points - 63, has currently - 50, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 19 (29.55%), has project points - 41, has currently - 31, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, importance 44, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Las Palmas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
03.04.22	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
28.03.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	4:2 ✺
19.03.22	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
12.03.22	Las Palmas - Girona	1:3 ✺
05.03.22	Huesca - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWLT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.22	Amorebieta - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
25.03.22	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Eibar - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Amorebieta - Málaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.21	Amorebieta - Las Palmas	1:1

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