Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Cala Pozuelo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.7
	1.84	3.45	3.8
	1.83	3.5	3.91	Watch
	1.79	3.46	3.97
	1.84	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)	3.43 ↓ (3.75)	3.84 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
49.8%

Draw
26.5%

Cala Pozuelo
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

16.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón B's form might have worsened.

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Alcorcón B - Cala Pozuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Di Domenico N. G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Ferreres F. S. ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, Ferreres F. S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Merchan V. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cala Pozuelo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alcorcón B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.24	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	2:4 ✺
06.12.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Alcorcón B - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Tres Cantos - Alcorcón B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLTW
- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Galapagar	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Torrejón	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Trival Valderas - Cala Pozuelo	4:2 ✺
01.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Aravaca - Cala Pozuelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL

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