Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.7	3.7
	2	3	3.4
	2.13	3	3.6
	2.12	3.03	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.96	3.58
	2.13	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.18)	2.95 (2.95)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
43.3%

Draw
31%

Mérida AD
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

31.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

31.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Alcoyano - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Ferriz P. 18. Atienza P. 3. Rodriguez A. 20. Undabarrena E. 6. Garcia I. 14. Anton J. 8. Molina D. 7. Herrera C. 19. Losada M.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 4. Bonaque M. 18. Falcon E. 3. Jimenez N. 28. del Cerro S. 6. Miki 11. Doncel C. 24. Carvalho M. 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J.
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 15. Blanco C. 9. de Palmas R. 25. Ferrer M. (G) 1. Garcia M. (G) 10. Lara J. A. 24. Qasmi Y. 22. Velazquez D.	7. Alvaro J. 22. Athuman I. 23. Busi 17. Ganet P. 9. Mizzian M. 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez E. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Beltran L. ⚽,
27', 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Jimenez N. ⚽,
37', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
46', del Cerro S. ↓, Athuman I. ↑,
46', Herrera C. ↓, Qasmi Y. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Blanco C. ↑,
46', Undabarrena E. ↓, Lara J. A. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Molina D. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
57', Miki 🟨,
59', Miki ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
65', Ferriz P. ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
69', 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Losada M. ⚽,
75', Jimenez N. ↓, Busi ↑,
75', Doncel C. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
80', Molina D. ↓, Albisua H. ↑,
84', Bonaque M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Pipe ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcoyano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.25	Marbella - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sevilla B - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alcorcón - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.03.25	Mérida AD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Villarreal B - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Algeciras - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.10.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	2:2
16.03.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	1:3
03.01.24	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	1:0

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