Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Aldosivi		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.3
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.3	2.8	3.5
	2.35	2.82	3.75
	2.28	2.79	3.72	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.5
	2.25	2.83	3.57
	2.3	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.87)	2.82 ↓ (3.02)	3.53 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
40.6%

Draw
33%

Mitre
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

30.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

32.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldosivi's form might have worsened.

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mitre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Aldosivi - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atamanuk C. (G) 10. Alonso A. 9. Colazo A. 5. Esponda M. 11. Gonzalez L. 4. Gonzalez R. 3. Guerrico I. 2. Iniguez E. 8. Larralde V. 6. Sills J. 7. Sosa A.	1. Ledesma J. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 9. Cabral F. 10. Castro T. 4. Diaz C. 8. Kabalin M. 6. Piris O. 7. Posse F. 3. Sanchez M. 11. Viera M. 2. Wiechniak F.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Sciacqua M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Larralde V. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
73', Colazo A. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
73', Viera M. ↓, Gobetto J. P. ↑,
78', Alonso A. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
78', Kabalin M. ↓, Triverio G. ↑,
78', Castro T. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
78', Posse F. ↓, Antilef A. ↑,
79', 🟨,
87', Wiechniak F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Aldosivi have a series of guest games.

In this match Aldosivi is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.08.24	Alvarado - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Aldosivi	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	San Telmo - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Aldosivi - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Almirante Brown - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.08.24	Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
05.08.24	Colón - Mitre	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.07.24	Mitre - Temperley	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.24	Mitre - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.04.24	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:1
17.07.23	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:2
13.03.23	Aldosivi - Mitre	3:1
19.02.18	Aldosivi - Mitre	1:0

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