Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports Play


	Alvarado		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.63	Watch
	2.87	2.75	2.55
	3	2.75	2.6	Watch
	2.71	2.75	3.01
	3.04	2.71	2.73	Watch
	3	2.7	2.6
	2.97	2.72	2.63
	3	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.74)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)	2.67 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
31.3%

Draw
33.9%

Aldosivi
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

34.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

33.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Alvarado - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 11. Becker D. 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 6. Monzon L. 3. Aleo A. 7. Malagueno F. 8. Jaurena S. 5. Leyes N. 10. Sanchez G. 9. Belinetz O.	1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Iniguez E. 3. Guerrico I. 8. Pineiro G. 5. Sills J. 7. Sosa A. 10. Alonso A. 11. Lamendola N. 9. Colazo A.
Substitutes
14. Bettini M. 13. Fernandez T. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 17. Lamardo G. 15. Mansilla M. 20. Miori M. 16. Ochoa J. 18. Rambert T. 19. Vadala G.	. Esponda M. 14. Gonzalez A. . Gonzalez L. 12. Gonzalez N. . Guzman N. 15. Larralde V. . Lujan S. 17. Morello M. 19. Torres E.
Coaches
Gomez G.	Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Becker D. ⚽,
44', Soto G. 🟨,
45', Belinetz O. (Pen),
45', Robledo A. 🟨,
45+1', Carranza J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
56', Pineiro G. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
56', Lamendola N. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
62', Monzon L. 🟨,
62', Iniguez E. 🟨,
68', Jaurena S. 🟨,
77', Sanchez G. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
81', Alonso A. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
86', Becker D. ↓, Rambert T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.08.24	Alvarado - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	All Boys - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Alvarado - Agropecuario Argentino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.08.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Aldosivi	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	San Telmo - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Aldosivi - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Almirante Brown - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.24	Aldosivi - Alvarado	0:0

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