Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca (Oaxaca de Juárez)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Alebrijes de Oaxaca		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.40
	2.55	3.05	2.55
	2.87	3.34	2.53
	2.76	3.29	2.52	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.55
	2.84	3.06	2.57	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.58)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
33.8%

Draw
29.4%

Alacranes de Durango
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Paz Vasquez O. (G) 15. Villa P. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 12. Reyes J. 25. Martinez D. 23. Hernandez A. 19. Fadika B. 177. Bustos J. 6. Arellano A. 22. Jaimes Rodriguez T. 11. Andrey Marcos	1. Munoz J. (G) 5. Cantu E. 35. Flores S. (C) 4. Munoz J. 2. Garcia A. 9. Ramirez J. S. 16. Dominguez R. 30. Escoboza A. 26. Munoz B. 11. Morales L. 23. Siqueiros C.
Substitutes
24. Achinulo P. 20. Ayala D. 7. Ballesteros O. 8. Barreda I. 17. Collazo D. 28. Jeffus L. 3. Justo A. 1. Rodas C. (G) 33. Tecpanecatl A. 35. Vizarretea S.	27. Angulo J. 14. Lorona L. 12. Lozano M. 8. Montano T. 13. Ontiveros A. 21. Oteo D. 33. Pelaez A. (G) 17. Reyes Olguin J. I. 19. Valenzuela A. 6. Vega Hernandez C.
Coaches
Hernandez E.	Real H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Bustos J. ⚽, Andrey Marcos (A),
26', Dominguez R. 🟨,
29', Paz Vasquez O. 🟨,
30', Hernandez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Munoz B. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
46', Dominguez R. ↓, Montano T. ↑,
46', Ramirez J. S. ↓, Reyes Olguin J. I. ↑,
46', Jaimes Rodriguez T. ↓, Tecpanecatl A. ↑,
52', Cantu E. 🟨,
62', Morales L. ↓, Vega Hernandez C. ↑,
66', Bustos J. 🟨,
71', Angulo J. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
75', Hernandez A. ↓, Justo A. ↑,
75', Fadika B. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
79', Garcia A. 🟨,
82', Bustos J. ↓, Jeffus L. ↑,
82', Andrey Marcos ↓, Barreda I. ↑,
90+5', Martinez D. 🟨,
90+9', Tecpanecatl A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)

Recent performances by Alebrijes de Oaxaca have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alacranes de Durango has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alacranes de Durango	11	5	2	4	11:11	0	17
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.09.26	Atlético Morelia - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTLWW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.09.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Correcaminos UAT - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cancún - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Piratas de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.02.23	Alacranes de Durango - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1
09.09.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Alacranes de Durango	4:0

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