Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Alessandria		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.33
	1.7	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.85
	1.75	3.25	4.3
	1.81	3.49	4.58
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.73	3.6	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	3.38 ↑ (3.29)	4.33 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
51.9%

Draw
27%

Piacenza
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Alessandria - Piacenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Piacenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alessandria is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Alessandria - Livorno	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Alessandria - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Alessandria - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWL
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	Piacenza - Pro Patria	0:3 ✺
01.11.20	Piacenza - Renate	3:3 ✺
25.10.20	Lecco - Piacenza	2:4 ✺
21.10.20	Piacenza - Olbia	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Pistoiese - Piacenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.03.19	Piacenza - Alessandria	4:0
03.12.18	Alessandria - Piacenza	0:2
15.04.18	Alessandria - Piacenza	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.17	Piacenza - Alessandria	0:4
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.17	Piacenza - Alessandria	3:2
05.02.17	Alessandria - Piacenza	1:0
18.09.16	Piacenza - Alessandria	1:2

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