Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Algeciras		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.37
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.75	3.05	2.37
	2.84	3.12	2.6
	2.74	3.06	2.49
	2.8	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	2.43 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
33%

Draw
29.6%

Ferrol
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Algeciras - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Algeciras will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Algeciras is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ferrol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	Badajoz - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Algeciras - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Algeciras - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Fuenlabrada - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Antequera - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	Ferrol - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Ferrol - Compostela	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

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