Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Alianza Lima		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.30
	1.88	3.4	3.7
	1.87	3.55	3.53
	1.91	3.53	3.57
	1.85	3.35	3.45
	1.94	3.48	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.02)	3.45 ↓ (3.88)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
48%

Draw
26.3%

Palestino
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

24%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

24.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Alianza Lima - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 29. Archimbaud J. 31. Carbajal C. 15. Castillo J. 4. Chavez G. 77. Estrada J. 25. Gentile G. 14. Montenegro D. 22. Neira C. 27. Quevedo K. 9. Ramos L.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 7. Carrasco B. (C) 17. Eggel M. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 9. Fernandez R. 18. Gallegos S. 5. Glaby D. 27. Munder C. 3. Roco E. 20. Tapia Paez G. 28. Zuniga D.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 36. Alarcon R. 11. Cantero A. 8. Castillo E. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 99. Girotti F. 61. Neciosup A. 34. Paolo Guerrero 5. Pavez E.	30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 11. Benitez J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 13. Gomez A. 8. Meza N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 31. Ruz G. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Gallegos S. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Ramos L. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Carrasco B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Palestino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Alianza Lima is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Lima against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.26	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTLT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
12.09.26	Palestino - Universidad Católica	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Palestino - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cobresal - Palestino	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	OHiggins - Palestino	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Palestino - Huachipato	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
07.05.19	Alianza Lima - Palestino	1:2
02.04.19	Palestino - Alianza Lima	3:0

Upcoming Matches