Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)


	Alianza Lima		Blooming

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.5	8.75
	1.26	5.85	9.86
	1.23	5.85	9.86
	1.2	5.8	10
	1.21	5.9	10.2	Watch
	1.26	5.8	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	5.78 ↑ (4.88)	9.61 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
74.5%

Draw
15.9%

Blooming
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

16.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.

Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Alianza Lima - Blooming Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Saravia F. (G) 5. Arregui A. 9. Barcos H. (C) 27. Cabellos C. 8. Costa G. 2. Freytes J. 6. Garces R. 25. Huaman M. 10. Rodriguez S. 26. Serna K. 55. Zambrano C.	1. Uraezana B. (G) 17. Arce J. 16. Arismendi F. 24. Becerra M. A. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 4. Duran D. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 43. Lacerda J. 26. Romero C. 27. Siles O. 6. Spenhay R.
Substitutes
. Agurto 21. Aranda S. 1. Campos A. (G) 15. Castillo J. 11. D'Arrigo J. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) . De Santis 20. Fuentes A. 17. Neira C. . Sanchez . Velasco 31. Vilchez Y.	36. Eguez R. 7. Garzon S. 12. Jimenez C. (G) 8. Rodriguez F. 5. Severiche S. 3. Valverde J. 2. Visalla G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Alianza Lima is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
13.03.24	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Alianza Lima - Comerciantes Unidos	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.03.24	Blooming - Royal Pari	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Royal Pari - Blooming	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Nacional Potosí - Blooming	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWWT

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