Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Alianza Lima		Carlos Stein

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9.5	Watch
	1.31	4.75	8
	1.3	4.75	9
	1.3	4.7	8.4
	1.33	5.03	10.11
	1.3	4.33	10	Watch
	1.35	4.54	9.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	4.73 ↑ (4.22)	9.17 ↑ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
70.3%

Draw
19.6%

Carlos Stein
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

20.8%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.

Carlos Stein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Alianza Lima - Carlos Stein Predictions

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carlos Stein is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alianza Lima have a series of guest games.

In this match Alianza Lima is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Fortaleza - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.04.22	Cantolao - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
10.04.22	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW
- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 1
24.04.22	Carlos Stein - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Sport Huancayo - Carlos Stein	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	FBC Melgar - Carlos Stein	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Carlos Stein - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Carlos Stein	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.09.20	Carlos Stein - Alianza Lima	0:2

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