Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.2	1.4	Watch
	8.4	4.25	1.38
	8.76	4.14	1.39
	7	3.75	1.4
	8.1	4.25	1.43	Watch
	8	4.1	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.13 ↑ (8.12)	4.12 ↓ (4.7)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
11.4%

Draw
22.5%

Alianza Lima
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

19.8%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

19.6%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Cantolao aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cantolao - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cantolao will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (G) 29. Lojas S. 4. Moreira F. 55. Duclos F. 19. Tamariz A. 27. Velasco S. 6. Alzamora R. 5. Guarderas R. 17. Tajima M. 7. Vergara H. 8. Ramirez L.	1. Campos A. (G) 30. Peruzzi G. 6. Miguez P. 3. Vilchez Y. 13. Lagos R. 16. Castillo J. 21. Ballon J. (C) 23. Cueva C. 22. Rodriguez A. 9. Barcos H. 17. Zanelatto F.
Substitutes
15. Calabrese B. 24. Delgado V. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 30. Huerto J. 31. Lara J. . Lozada J. (G) 20. Ramirez D. 14. Regalado I. 26. Vargas J.	43. Borletti E. 28. Chavez E. 10. Concha J. 8. Costa G. 24. del Castillo J. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 29. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 27. Valenzuela O. 5. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Taffarel A.	Larriera M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 1.

Cantolao is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alianza Lima is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Alianza Lima is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
26.08.23	Unión Comercio - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Cantolao - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Cienciano - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Cantolao - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
28.07.23	Cusco - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLTL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
26.08.23	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Cusco - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
15.04.23	Alianza Lima - Cantolao	3:0
10.09.22	Alianza Lima - Cantolao	0:0
23.04.22	Cantolao - Alianza Lima	1:2
04.08.21	Alianza Lima - Cantolao	2:1
10.10.20	Cantolao - Alianza Lima	1:0
24.08.19	Alianza Lima - Cantolao	3:2
09.03.19	Cantolao - Alianza Lima	1:2

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