The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Lima 37.2%
Draw 33.8%
Universidad de Chile 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
30.1%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
28.4%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Lima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Alianza Lima - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 45% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Universidad de Chile (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alianza Lima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 4 - 80%). Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Viscarra G. (G) 22. Enrique G. 5. Zambrano C. 6. Garces R. 21. Trauco M. 28. Burlamaqui A. 8. Castillo E. 18. Pena S. 27. Quevedo K. 7. Gaibor F. 9. Barcos H. (C)
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 21. Diaz M. (C) 19. Altamirano J. 20. Aranguiz C. 16. Sepulveda M. 11. Guerra N. 10. Assadi L.
Substitutes
55. Aquino P. 17. Archimbaud J. 1. Campos A. (G) 19. Cantero A. 51. Cari P. 10. Ceppelini P. 24. Chavez G. 3. Estrada J. 25. Gentile G. 14. Huaman M. 13. Lagos R. 16. Succar M.
27. Contreras R. 24. Diaz A. 9. Fernandez L. 6. Fernandez N. 12. Garrido P. (G) 13. Retamal D. 14. Rodriguez S. 15. Salomoni F. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 40. Vera R.
Coaches
Gorosito N.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
47', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
51', Zambrano C. 🟨,
63', Pena S. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
64', Zambrano C. 🟨,
66', Quevedo K. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
68', Altamirano J. 🟨,
73', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
73', Guerra N. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
75', Contreras R. 🟨,
77', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Aquino P. ↑,
77', Barcos H. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
88', Assadi L. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
90+2', Aquino P. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Alianza Lima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Alianza Lima could have a small edge in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.