Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Lima		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	11
	1.28	4.60	9.25
	1.33	4.1	12	Watch
	1.32	4.85	12.66
	1.39	3.9	11.44	Watch
	1.29	3.95	12
	1.34	4.2	11.2	Watch
	1.26	4.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	4.39 ↓ (4.4)	11.19 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
70.7%

Draw
21.1%

Deportivo Garcilaso
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

21.5%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

22.1%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. 3. Antoni M. 2. Diaz N. 5. Pavez E. 7. Gaibor F. 11. Cantero A. 20. Velez J. 34. Paolo Guerrero (C) 8. Castillo E.	1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 30. Da Silva B. 9. Castelli F.
Substitutes
29. Archimbaud J. 18. Burlamaqui A. 31. Carbajal C. 4. Chavez G. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 25. Gentile G. 99. Girotti F. 22. Neira C. 9. Ramos L.	27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Flores C. M. 35. Mendoza J. 24. Olivares C. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Guede P.	Greppo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Da Silva B. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Castelli F. 🟨,
45+1', Velez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
46', Cantero A. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
63', Castelli F. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
72', Salazar A. 🟨,
75', Antoni M. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
75', Advincula L. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
75', Velez J. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
81', Garces R. 🟨,
82', Arancibia F. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
88', Da Silva B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
90+3', Gomez A. 🟨,
90+3', Diaz N. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 3.

Alianza Lima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Garcilaso is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Alianza Lima is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Alianza Lima: Huaman M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Ramos L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
11	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
23.08.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTWT
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
14.03.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	1:1
13.09.25	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:4
14.04.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	0:1
26.10.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	1:2
19.05.24	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2
29.10.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	0:1
10.06.23	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2

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